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It's for sure true that a huge number of people in NYC got it, way surpassing the confirmed cases count. The state is currently doing a serology study here and results should be published next week.


Sure I believe NYC has way higher prevalence of cases but difference in deaths would imply majority of population was infected and they’d essentially be at herd immunity now. It’s not implausible but find it hard to believe.


We'll know soon enough. The blood serology randomized trial is underway. I suspect some neighborhoods might be at 50%, but the city overall won't be.


Maybe they'll finally end this ridiculous lockdown when that one is released




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