His facebook doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. It's full of vague availability-heuristic-targeting generalities.
"Virtue is when the income you wish to show the tax agency equals what you wish to show your neighbor"
"The problem is that academics really think that nonacademics find them more intelligent than themselves",
etc
I've read black swan as well, and there were parts I didn't quite grok at the time (You cannot predict a black swan! etc)
My take is that he's a Malcolm Gladwell with numbers and therefore less easily takedownable but has the same model of "hold prestigious academic position, appear wise, publish book with simple principle, be easily referenceable by people who want to sound well-read" except he has lots of math and charts to point at lest anyone call him out on it.
"Virtue is when the income you wish to show the tax agency equals what you wish to show your neighbor"
"The problem is that academics really think that nonacademics find them more intelligent than themselves",
etc
I've read black swan as well, and there were parts I didn't quite grok at the time (You cannot predict a black swan! etc)
My take is that he's a Malcolm Gladwell with numbers and therefore less easily takedownable but has the same model of "hold prestigious academic position, appear wise, publish book with simple principle, be easily referenceable by people who want to sound well-read" except he has lots of math and charts to point at lest anyone call him out on it.